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October 19, 2013

Pick to Click: Going Deep

SicEmSports continues this game-day feature, something we call the "Pick to Click". Based on Baylor's opponent, the individual matchups and the style of play, we pick one Baylor player that's in the best position to have a huge game. Today, we pick the Bear most likely to make an impact in Baylor's 90th homecoming. The Bears play Iowa State.

Player: #16 Tevin Reese, WR, Senior

Why he's our pick:

Iowa State's program is in pretty much of a rebuilding mode this year. The Cyclones have had to rely on some underclassmen this year to make up for such significant personnel losses including Jake Knott and A.J. Klein. The Cyclones are 87th in the country in points allowed at 29.8.

But it gets tougher. In the Big 12, ISU is last in passing defense at 267.2 yards per game and total defense at 447.6 yards per game. So that means, they Cyclones have to blitz a lot, right? With or without the forced pressure, Iowa State is ninth in the conference sacks with nine and last in interceptions with two. That's a little surprising because the secondary is pretty experienced with three returning starters in CB Jansen Watson and safeties Jacques Washington and Deon Broomfield. They are all seniors. Still, Iowa State is second in the Big 12 in turnover at plus 6 because they have collected a conference-best nine.

The pick-to-click forecast: When 20 of your 22 career touchdowns come from 50 or more yards, that usually means you're getting the right matchup, you're running your routes well and are just leaving people behind. That's what Reese does. It's likely that Watson is going to have to help sophomore cornerback Sam E. Richardson because both Reese and Antwan Goodley are good at what they do. But if you look at Reese's averages (4.6-121.8), I think he will exceed those. I'm calling for six receptions for 150 yards and a touchdown -- and that one will be from beyond 50 yards.

Iowa State (1-4, 0-2) at No. 12 Baylor (5-0, 2-0)
6:00 p.m. Saturday
Floyd Casey Stadium, Waco
TV/Radio: ESPNU/ESPN Central Texas/Sirius 117

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